AI predictions & odds

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Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

AI

Elon Musk

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

100%

June 30, 2026

$14m Vol.

$2m today

$1m Liq.

1,387

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

AI

Prediction Markets

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

47%

Perplexity AI

$9m Vol.

$592k today

$21.0k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

AI

OpenAI

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

93%

Google

$382k Vol.

$166k today

$275k Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

AI

Tech

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

61%

$174k Vol.

$155k today

$14.8k Liq.

102

Ends in 27 days

Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?

AI

Tech

Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?

8%

$77.2k Vol.

$69.0k today

$25.7k Liq.

2

Ends in 27 days

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

AI

OpenAI

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

80%

Google

$1m Vol.

$262k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

AI

OpenAI

Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

84%

Google

$37.0k Vol.

$28.6k Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Largest Company end of June?

AI

Business

Largest Company end of June?

68%

NVIDIA

$1m Vol.

$228k Liq.

79

Ends in 5 months

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

AI

Business

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

41%

xAI

$565k Vol.

$46.9k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

GPT-5.3 released by...?

AI

Sam Altman

GPT-5.3 released by...?

87%

February 28

$68.9k Vol.

$1.3k Liq.

4

Ends in 27 days

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

AI

Business

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

69%

40%+

$12.8k Vol.

$12.0k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Largest Company end of December 2026?

AI

Business

Largest Company end of December 2026?

47%

NVIDIA

$450k Vol.

$334k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Which company has the second best AI model end of February?

AI

OpenAI

Which company has the second best AI model end of February?

77%

Google

$15.7k Vol.

$26.8k Liq.

Ends in 27 days

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

AI

China

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

95%

March 31

$16.0k Vol.

$2.8k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

VEO 4 released by...?

AI

Google

VEO 4 released by...?

10%

March 31

$25.1k Vol.

$5.5k Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

AI

Business

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

75%

35%+

$15.0k Vol.

$5.8k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

Which company has best AI model end of June?

AI

OpenAI

Which company has best AI model end of June?

66%

Google

$732k Vol.

$194k Liq.

61

Ends in 5 months

Grok 4.20 released by...?

AI

Elon Musk

Grok 4.20 released by...?

97%

April 20

$549k Vol.

$13.6k Liq.

116

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

AI

Business

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

91%

30%+

$8.3k Vol.

$2.7k Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

Grok 4.20 released on...?

AI

Elon Musk

Grok 4.20 released on...?

86%

No release by February 14

$37.0k Vol.

$42.5k Liq.

Ends in 13 days