SpaceX predictions & odds

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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

$764k Vol.

$9.7k Liq.

7

64%

Successful splash down?

$764k Vol.

$9.7k Liq.

7

NASA Artemis II

SpaceX

NASA Artemis II

$146k Vol.

$30.7k Liq.

26

Ends in about 2 months

87%

March 31

$146k Vol.

$30.7k Liq.

26

Ends in about 2 months

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$107k Vol.

$8.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

31%

7-8

$107k Vol.

$8.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

$57.8k Vol.

$39.9k Liq.

3

Ends in almost 2 years

27%

<1.0T

$57.8k Vol.

$39.9k Liq.

3

Ends in almost 2 years

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

SpaceX

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$2m Vol.

$60.3k Liq.

96

Ends in almost 2 years

39%

$X

$2m Vol.

$60.3k Liq.

96

Ends in almost 2 years

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$328k Vol.

$39.0k Liq.

5

Ends in almost 2 years

77%

>$1T

$328k Vol.

$39.0k Liq.

5

Ends in almost 2 years

How many SpaceX launches in February?

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in February?

$16.1k Vol.

$11.4k Liq.

Ends in 27 days

81%

11 or more

$16.1k Vol.

$11.4k Liq.

Ends in 27 days

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

$1m Vol.

$123k Liq.

36

Ends in almost 2 years

73%

1T+

$1m Vol.

$123k Liq.

36

Ends in almost 2 years

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$83.2k Vol.

$10.2k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

24%

$83.2k Vol.

$10.2k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

SpaceX

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

$11.0k Vol.

$3.7k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

20%

$11.0k Vol.

$3.7k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

SpaceX

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

$4.9k Vol.

$2.0k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

41%

$4.9k Vol.

$2.0k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

SpaceX

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

$304k Vol.

$34.7k Liq.

5

Ends in almost 2 years

53%

Morgan Stanley

$304k Vol.

$34.7k Liq.

5

Ends in almost 2 years

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

$7.3k Vol.

$11.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

52%

200 or more

$7.3k Vol.

$11.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

$1.7k Vol.

$3.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

76%

December 31

$1.7k Vol.

$3.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

SpaceX

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

$457k Vol.

$55.7k Liq.

12

Ends in 11 months

7%

$457k Vol.

$55.7k Liq.

12

Ends in 11 months

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$145k Vol.

$9.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

48%

$145k Vol.

$9.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

$61 Vol.

$803 Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

77%

SpaceX

$61 Vol.

$803 Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

SpaceX

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$112 Vol.

$3.2k Liq.

1

Ends in almost 2 years

72%

SpaceX

$112 Vol.

$3.2k Liq.

1

Ends in almost 2 years

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

SpaceX

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$52.6k Vol.

$12.8k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

2%

$52.6k Vol.

$12.8k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

SpaceX

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

$1.6k Vol.

$2.1k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

8%

$1.6k Vol.

$2.1k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

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