Trending Breaking New

Politics Sports Crypto Finance Geopolitics Earnings Tech Culture World Economy Climate & Science Elections Mentions More

World Events

All Global Elections Portugal Election Japan Election China Gaza Iran Ukraine Venezuela Israel Middle East Ukraine Map India-Pakistan Canada South Korea Yemen Bolivia Election

World Events

All Global Elections Portugal Election Japan Election China Gaza Iran Ukraine Venezuela Israel Middle East Ukraine Map India-Pakistan Canada South Korea Yemen Bolivia Election

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

February 1

1%

February 2

3%

February 1

1%

February 2

3%

$145m Vol.

Monthly

US/Israel strikes Iran by...? card icon

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

February 15

21%

February 28

41%

February 15

21%

February 28

41%

$9m Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 30

<1%

January 31

<1%

January 30

<1%

January 31

<1%

$28m Vol.

Monthly

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 2026

<1%

February 1

1%

January 2026

<1%

February 1

1%

$2m Vol.

Monthly

Costa Rica Presidential Election card icon

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

92%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

7%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

92%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

7%

$3m Vol.

Next Country US Strikes card icon

Will the US not strike another country before 2027?

<1%

chance

$5m Vol.

Monthly

Next leader out of power before 2027? card icon

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Schoof - Netherlands PM

76%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

14%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

76%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

14%

$4m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

13%

chance

$12m Vol.

Next Country US Strikes card icon

Next Country US Strikes

Somalia

85%

Iran

11%

Somalia

85%

Iran

11%

NEW

•

$359k Vol.

Monthly

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

99%

André Ventura (CH)

1%

António José Seguro (IND)

99%

André Ventura (CH)

1%

$127m Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? card icon

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

March 31

3%

December 31

12%

March 31

3%

December 31

12%

$14m Vol.

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...? card icon

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

February 28

5%

March 31

10%

February 28

5%

March 31

10%

$7m Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election card icon

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

52%

Flávio Bolsonaro

28%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

52%

Flávio Bolsonaro

28%

$15m Vol.

Next French Presidential Election card icon

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella

26%

Édouard Philippe

15%

Jordan Bardella

26%

Édouard Philippe

15%

$4m Vol.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

25%

chance

$8m Vol.

Daily

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government? card icon

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

VVD + CDA + D66

96%

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66

<1%

VVD + CDA + D66

96%

VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66

<1%

$31m Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Hungary card icon

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter Magyar

53%

Viktor Orbán

46%

Péter Magyar

53%

Viktor Orbán

46%

$6m Vol.

Monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

14%

chance

$3m Vol.

Monthly

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

5%

chance

$1m Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam card icon

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

Lê Minh Hưng

82%

Phạm Thị Thanh Trà

<1%

Lê Minh Hưng

82%

Phạm Thị Thanh Trà

<1%

$1m Vol.

The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Related World Events topics

VenezuelaPredictions CanadaPredictions ChinaPredictions Global ElectionsPredictions Portugal ElectionPredictions Japan ElectionPredictions GazaPredictions IranPredictions UkrainePredictions IsraelPredictions

Middle EastPredictions Ukraine MapPredictions India-PakistanPredictions South KoreaPredictions YemenPredictions Bolivia ElectionPredictions

Popular World Events markets

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Will Israel strike Gaza on...?Costa Rica Legislative Assembly Election Winner Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Prime Minister of Japan after snap election?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?China x India military clash by...?Colombia Presidential Election Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Xi Jinping out by June 30?Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner Paris Mayoral Election

New World Events markets

Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?How many different countries will the US strike in February?Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?Will the RSF capture Kadugli by March 31?Will the RSF capture Dilling by March 31?Will the RSF capture El Obeid by March 31?U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Bank of Canada decision in April?

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?Bank of Brazil Decision in April?Number of TSA Passengers February 3?Number of TSA Passengers February 8?Number of TSA Passengers February 7?Number of TSA Passengers February 9?Number of TSA Passengers February 6?Number of TSA Passengers February 5?Number of TSA Passengers February 2?Number of TSA Passengers February 4?

Adventure One QSS Inc. © 2026/Privacy/Terms of Use/Help Center/Docs

Polymarket operates globally through separate legal entities. Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market. This international platform is not regulated by the CFTC and operates independently. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. See our Terms of Service & Privacy Policy.

Home

Breaking