Grok 4.20 released by...?
$549,909 Vol.
January 31
$164,299 Vol.
<1%
January 31
$164,299 Vol.
<1%
February 14
$1,552 Vol.
15%
February 14
$1,552 Vol.
15%
February 28
$2,468 Vol.
66%
February 28
$2,468 Vol.
66%
March 31
$1,168 Vol.
92%
March 31
$1,168 Vol.
92%
April 20
$42,849 Vol.
96%
April 20
$42,849 Vol.
96%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1 similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1 similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1 similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Dec 12, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$549,909Created At
Dec 12, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Grok 4.20 released by...?
$549,909 Vol.
January 31
$164,299 Vol.
<1%
February 14
$1,552 Vol.
15%
February 28
$2,468 Vol.
66%
March 31
$1,168 Vol.
92%
April 20
$42,849 Vol.
96%
About
Volume
$549,909Created At
Dec 12, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.