Tesla predictions & odds

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Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

Tesla

Elon Musk

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

100%

June 30, 2026

$14m Vol.

$2m today

$1m Liq.

1,387

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

Tesla

Business

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

57%

<350k

$245k Vol.

$23.6k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Tesla

Business

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

74%

$278k Vol.

$13.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla

SpaceX

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

20%

$11.0k Vol.

$3.7k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Tesla

Business

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

27%

$13.3k Vol.

$2.5k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?

Tesla

AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?

98%

Miami

$140k Vol.

$34.4k Liq.

11

Ends in 5 months

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

Tesla

AI

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?

21%

10

$86.7k Vol.

$27.1k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Tesla

Tech

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

15%

December 31

$41.1k Vol.

$19.3k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Tesla

Business

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

22%

$2.7k Vol.

$1.4k Liq.

2

Ends in 11 months