XAI predictions & odds

·
Grok 4.20 released on...?

XAI

Elon Musk

Grok 4.20 released on...?

86%

No release by February 14

$38.9k Vol.

$256k Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

XAI

AI

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

68%

Google

$301k Vol.

$47.1k Liq.

16

Ends in 5 months

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

XAI

Politics

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

53%

$53.6k Vol.

$7.7k Liq.

14

Ends in 11 months

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

XAI

Elon Musk

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

73%

25%+

$2.5k Vol.

$2.1k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

XAI

Elon Musk

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

28%

$1.5k Vol.

$1.1k Liq.

Ends in 5 months