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Economy

All Trade War Fed Rates Inflation Macro Indicators GDP Global Rates Taxes Treasuries TSA Housing

Economy

All Trade War Fed Rates Inflation Macro Indicators GDP Global Rates Taxes Treasuries TSA Housing

Fed decision in March? card icon

Fed decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

8%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

8%

$33m Vol.

Monthly

How long will the Government Shutdown last? card icon

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

3+ days

100%

4+ days

97%

3+ days

100%

4+ days

97%

$7m Vol.

Largest Company End of February? card icon

Largest Company End of February?

NVIDIA

91%

Alphabet

9%

NVIDIA

91%

Alphabet

9%

$539k Vol.

Monthly

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? card icon

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

March 31, 2026

5%

June 30, 2026

13%

March 31, 2026

5%

June 30, 2026

13%

$20m Vol.

Largest Company end of March? card icon

Largest Company end of March?

NVIDIA

84%

Alphabet

13%

NVIDIA

84%

Alphabet

13%

$1m Vol.

Monthly

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026 card icon

ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

<1%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

<1%

$1m Vol.

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? card icon

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

6%

1 (25 bps)

12%

0 (0 bps)

6%

1 (25 bps)

12%

$4m Vol.

2nd Largest company end of February? card icon

2nd Largest company end of February?

Alphabet

88%

Apple

9%

Alphabet

88%

Apple

9%

$131k Vol.

Monthly

2nd largest company end of March? card icon

2nd largest company end of March?

Alphabet

76%

Apple

13%

Alphabet

76%

Apple

13%

$284k Vol.

Monthly

3rd largest company end of March? card icon

3rd largest company end of March?

Apple

73%

Microsoft

11%

Apple

73%

Microsoft

11%

$48k Vol.

Monthly

Bank of Mexico decision in February? card icon

Bank of Mexico decision in February?

Decrease

6%

No change

94%

Decrease

6%

No change

94%

$81k Vol.

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar) card icon

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Cut–Pause–Pause

88%

Cut–Pause–Cut

11%

Cut–Pause–Pause

88%

Cut–Pause–Cut

11%

$711k Vol.

Daily

Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by...? card icon

Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by January 31, 2026?

12%

chance

$41k Vol.

Which banks will fail by June 30? card icon

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Deutsche Bank

6%

Scotiabank

6%

Deutsche Bank

6%

Scotiabank

6%

$106k Vol.

Bank of England decision in February? card icon

Bank of England decision in February?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

1%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

1%

$180k Vol.

SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? card icon

SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

65%

chance

$24k Vol.

Largest Company end of June? card icon

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA

68%

Alphabet

24%

NVIDIA

68%

Alphabet

24%

$1m Vol.

Monthly

3rd largest company end of February? card icon

3rd largest company end of February?

Apple

86%

Alphabet

6%

Apple

86%

Alphabet

6%

$557k Vol.

Monthly

Elon Musk Net Worth on January 31? card icon

Elon Musk Net Worth on January 31?

640-650b

<1%

650-660b

<1%

640-650b

<1%

650-660b

<1%

$85k Vol.

Monthly

Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30? card icon

Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?

51%

chance

$13k Vol.

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