Israel predictions & odds

·
US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Israel

Politics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

78%

December 31

$9m Vol.

$1m today

$85.8k Liq.

288

Ends in 14 days

US next strikes Iran on...?

Israel

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

99%

No strike by January 31

$28m Vol.

$1m today

$181k Liq.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Israel

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

<1%

$17m Vol.

$874k today

$394k Liq.

US next strikes Iran on...?

Israel

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

61%

No strike by February 28

$2m Vol.

$719k today

$371k Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Israel

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

24%

$8m Vol.

$182k today

$125k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Israel

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

12%

$3m Vol.

$118k today

$243k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

Israel

Politics

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

34%

February 28

$1m Vol.

$105k today

$68.4k Liq.

25

Ends in 27 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Israel

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

51%

$2m Vol.

$81.2k today

$108k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

Israel

Politics

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

34%

December 31

$490k Vol.

$77.9k today

$33.6k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

Israel

Politics

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

63%

February 1

$83.2k Vol.

$68.2k today

$11.4k Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

Israel

Politics

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

88%

February 1

$93.3k Vol.

$20.3k Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Israel

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

36%

$3m Vol.

$153k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Israel

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

36%

$216k Vol.

$20.8k Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel

Politics

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

56%

June 30

$2m Vol.

$10.0k Liq.

391

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Israel

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

34%

$4m Vol.

$46.0k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Israel

Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

18%

June 30

$865k Vol.

$51.5k Liq.

44

Ends in 5 months

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Israel

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

51%

$2m Vol.

$20.5k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Israel

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

26%

$1m Vol.

$55.1k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by February 28?

Israel

Politics

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by February 28?

41%

Tehran

$26.5k Vol.

$6.5k Liq.

2

Ends in 27 days

How many different countries will Israel strike in February?

Israel

Politics

How many different countries will Israel strike in February?

37%

≤1

$29.7k Vol.

$11.6k Liq.

Ends in 27 days