Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

<1%

chance

$17m Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

February 1

60%

February 2

36%

February 1

60%

February 2

36%

$83k Vol.

Daily

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

February 1

87%

February 2

65%

February 1

87%

February 2

65%

$94k Vol.

Daily

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

36%

chance

$217k Vol.

Monthly

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

March 31, 2026

37%

June 30

56%

March 31, 2026

37%

June 30

56%

$2m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

51%

chance

$2m Vol.

Monthly

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

58%

chance

$109k Vol.

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Russia

25%

Ukraine

17%

Russia

25%

Ukraine

17%

$617k Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

57%

chance

$311k Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...? card icon

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?

16%

chance

$110k Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

11%

chance

$244k Vol.

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

chance

$61k Vol.

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

March 31

17%

June 30

43%

March 31

17%

June 30

43%

$4m Vol.

Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?

chance

NEW

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

March 31, 2026

31%

February 28, 2026

20%

March 31, 2026

31%

February 28, 2026

20%

$1m Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

77%

chance

$11k Vol.

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

24%

chance

NEW

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?

chance

$15k Vol.

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

June 30

33%

December 31

44%

June 30

33%

December 31

44%

NEW

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland

41%

Azerbaijan

33%

Somaliland

41%

Azerbaijan

33%

$153k Vol.

Gaza Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Politics

Politics