44th Manitoba general election

44th Manitoba general election

← 2023 On or before October 5, 2027
← outgoing members
57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba 29 seats are needed for a majority
LIB Leader Wab Kinew Obby Khan Willard Reaves Party New Democratic Progressive Conservative Liberal Leader since September 16, 2017 April 26, 2025 September 29, 2025 Leader's seat Fort Rouge Fort Whyte None[a] Last election 34 seats, 45.63% 22 seats, 41.86% 1 seat, 10.63% Current seats 34 20 1 Seats needed 9 28
Incumbent Premier Wab Kinew New Democratic

The 44th Manitoba general election will be held on or before October 5, 2027,^[1] to elect 57 members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba.

Under Manitoba's Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election.^[2] As the previous election was held in 2023, the latest possible date for the election is October 5, 2027.^[3] The election will be held under first-past-the-post voting.

43rd Manitoba Legislature – Movement in seats held up to the election (2023-present)

Party		2023	Gain/(loss) due to				Current
			Resignation or death of MLA	Left Caucus	Removed from caucus	By-election
	New Democratic	34	(2)		(1)	2	33
	Progressive Conservative	22	(2)	(1)		1	20
	Liberal	1					1
	Independent	–		1	1		2
Total		57	(4)		–	3	57

Electoral district	Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent party nominee			New MLA
Turtle Mountain		Doyle Piwniuk[4]
Steinbach		Kelvin Goertzen[5]
Springfield-Ritchot		Ron Schuler[6]
Selkirk		Richard Perchotte[7]

Changes in seats held (2023–present)

Seat	Before				Change
	Date	Member	Party	Reason	Date	Member	Party
Tuxedo	May 6, 2024	Heather Stefanson	█ PC	Resignation[8]	July 8, 2024[9]	Carla Compton	█ New Democratic
Fort Garry	September 16, 2024	Mark Wasyliw	█ New Democratic	Removed from caucus[10]			█ Independent
Transcona	January 14, 2025	Nello Altomare	█ New Democratic	Died in office	March 18, 2025	Shannon Corbett	█ New Democratic
Spruce Woods	March 24, 2025	Grant Jackson	█ PC	Resigned to run federally	August 26, 2025	Colleen Robbins	█ PC
Dawson Trail	March 10, 2026	Bob Lagassé	█ PC	Left PC Caucus			█ Independent
The Pas-Kameesak	March 21, 2026	Amanda Lathlin	█ New Democratic	Died in office	TBD

• October 3: The 2023 Manitoba general election is held, resulting in a majority for the New Democratic Party. The Progressive Conservative Party becomes the Official Opposition, and the Liberal Party is reduced to one seat. PC leader Heather Stefanson announced her intent to resign once her successor is chosen, while she will remain as MLA for Tuxedo. Dougald Lamont resigns as Liberal leader on election night after he loses his seat of Saint Boniface.^[11]
• October 17: Cindy Lamoureux, MLA for Tyndall Park, is selected as interim leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.^[12]
• October 18: The NDP Cabinet is sworn in.^[13]

• January 15: Heather Stefanson Resigns as Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party
• January 18: Wayne Ewasko is chosen as the interim leader of the Progressive Conservative Party, replacing outgoing leader Heather Stefanson.
• April 25: Heather Stefanson announces her intention to vacate her seat on May 6. A by-election was held to fill the seat on June 18.
• May 6: Heather Stefanson Resigns as the MLA for Tuxedo
• June 18: New Democrat Carla Compton wins the Tuxedo by-election, gaining the seat from the Progressive Conservatives.
• September 16: Mark Wasyliw, MLA for Fort Garry, is removed from the NDP caucus and will sit as an independent.

• January 14: Education and Early Childhood Learning Minister and MLA for Transcona Nello Altomare dies in office.
• January 23: Tracy Schmidt becomes Minister of Education of and Early Childhood Learning, and Riel MLA Mike Moyes becomes Minister of Environment and Climate Change.
• March 18: New Democrat Shannon Corbett wins the Transcona by-election, holding the seat for the NDP and becomes the first Woman to be elected the MLA for Transcona
• March 24: Progressive Conservative MLA for Spruce Woods, Grant Jackson resigns his seat to run for the federal Conservatives in Brandon—Souris.
• April 26: Obby Khan is elected as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.
• August 26: Progressive Conservative Colleen Robbins wins the Spruce Woods by-election, holding the seat for the Progressive Conservatives.
• September 29: Willard Reaves is acclaimed as leader of the Liberal Party.^[14]
• November 12: Progressive Conservative MLA for Turtle Mountain, Doyle Piwniuk announces he will not seek re-election in the 44th General Election.
• December 10: Progressive Conservative MLA for Steinbach and 23rd Premier of Manitoba Kelvin Goertzen announces he will not seek re-election in the 44th General Election.
• December 17: Progressive Conservative MLA for Springfield-Ritchot and former Cabinet Minister Ron Schuler announces he will not seek re-election in the 44th General Election.

• March 5: One term Progressive Conservative MLA for Selkirk Richard Perchotte will not seek re-election in the 44th General Election.
• March 10: Progressive Conservative MLA for Dawson Trail Bob Lagassé announces in the legislature that he is leaving the PC Caucus and will sit as an Independent as well as run as an Independent in the 44th Manitoba General Election.
• March 21: The Pas-Kameesak NDP MLA and the first, First Nations Woman ever elected in Manitoba Amanda Lathlin Dies in office.

Manitoba Legislature

Party		Leader	Candidates	Seats				Popular vote
				2023	Current	Next	+/-	Votes	%	+/-
	New Democratic	Wab Kinew	11	34	33
	Progressive Conservative	Obby Khan	8	22	20
	Liberal	Willard Reaves	3	1	1
	Keystone	Kevin Friesen	–	–	–	–	–
	Green	Janine Gibson	–	–	–	–	–
	Communist	Cam Scott	–	–	–	–	–
	Independents		1	–	2	–	–
	Vacant				1		–
Blank and invalid votes
Total			23	57	57	–
Registered voters/turnout

† = not seeking re-election
‡ = running for re-election in different constituency
italics indicates contestant for nomination or declared interest
bold indicates party leader

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Keystone
Flin Flon												Tom Lindsey
Keewatinook												Ian Bushie
Swan River				Rick Wowchuk								Rick Wowchuk
The Pas-Kameesak												Vacant
Thompson												Eric Redhead

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Keystone
Agassiz				Jodie Byram								Jodie Byram
Turtle Mountain		Rick Pauls		Wally Daudrich Mark Custance								Doyle Piwniuk†
Brandon East		Glen Simard[15]										Glen Simard
Brandon West												Wayne Balcaen
Dauphin												Ron Kostyshyn
Riding Mountain				Greg Nesbitt								Greg Nesbitt
Spruce Woods				Colleen Robbins								Colleen Robbins

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Keystone
Borderland				Josh Guenter								Josh Guenter
Interlake-Gimli				Derek Johnson								Derek Johnson
Lakeside				Trevor King								Trevor King
Midland				Lauren Stone								Lauren Stone
Morden-Winkler				Carrie Hiebert								Carrie Hiebert
Springfield-Ritchot				Adam McAllister Craig Tomlinson								Ron Schuler†
Portage la Prairie				Jeff Bereza								Jeff Bereza

Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Keystone		Independent
Dawson Trail												Bob Lagasse		Bob Lagassé
Lac du Bonnet				Wayne Ewasko										Wayne Ewasko
La Verendrye				Konrad Narth										Konrad Narth
Steinbach				Michael Zwaagstra Susan Penner										Kelvin Goertzen†
Red River North														Jeff Wharton
Selkirk														Richard Perchotte†

Electoral district	Candidates								Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Independent
Burrows		Diljeet Brar								Diljeet Brar
Kildonan-River East		Rachelle Schott								Rachelle Schott
McPhillips										JD Devgan
Point Douglas										Bernadette Smith
St. Johns								Patrick Allard		Nahanni Fontaine
The Maples										Mintu Sandhu
Tyndall Park						Cindy Lamoureux				Cindy Lamoureux

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Communist
Concordia												Matt Wiebe
Elmwood		Jim Maloway										Jim Maloway
Radisson		Jelynn Dela Cruz										Jelynn Dela Cruz
Rossmere												Tracy Schmidt
St. Boniface		Robert Loiselle										Robert Loiselle
Transcona		Shannon Corbett										Shannon Corbett

Electoral district	Candidates								Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green
Assiniboia										Nellie Kennedy
Roblin				Kathleen Cook						Kathleen Cook
Kirkfield Park										Logan Oxenham
St. James										Adrien Sala
Tuxedo		Carla Compton								Carla Compton

Electoral district	Candidates												Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Communist		Independent
Fort Garry														Mark Wasyliw
Fort Rouge														Wab Kinew
Notre Dame														Malaya Marcelino
River Heights		Mike Moroz				Willard Reaves								Mike Moroz
Union Station														Uzoma Asagwara
Wolseley		Lisa Naylor												Lisa Naylor

Electoral district	Candidates										Incumbent
	NDP		PC		Liberal		Green		Independent
Fort Richmond												Jennifer Chen
Fort Whyte				Obby Khan								Obby Khan
Lagimodière		Tyler Blashko										Tyler Blashko
Riel		Mike Moyes										Mike Moyes
Seine River		Billie Cross				Jasbir Singh						Billie Cross
Southdale		Renee Cable										Renee Cable
St. Vital												Jamie Moses
Waverley		David Pankratz										David Pankratz

Voting intentions in Manitoba since the 2023 election
Polling firm	Dates conducted	Source	NDP	PC	Liberal	Keystone	Green	Others	Margin of error	Sample size	Polling method	Lead
Probe Research	Nov 25 – Dec 10, 2025	[p 1][p 2]	53%	32%	9%	2%	4%	0%	3.1%	1,000	mixed	21%
Angus Reid	Nov 26 – Dec 1, 2025	[p 3]	45%	46%	7%	–	1%	1%	5%	315	online	1%
	September 29, 2025	Willard Reaves is elected leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party
Probe Research	Sep 4–14, 2025	[p 4]	53%	34%	8%	1%	4%	1%	3.1%	1,000	mixed	19%
Angus Reid	Aug 28 – Sep 5, 2025	[p 5][p 6]	48%	41%	10%	–	0%	2%	5%	334	online	7%
Probe Research	May 28 – Jun 10, 2025	[p 7]	57%	32%	8%	2%	1%	0%	3.1%	1,000	mixed	25%
	April 26, 2025	Obby Khan is elected leader of the Manitoba Progressive Conservative Party
Probe Research	Mar 4–16, 2025	[p 8]	57%	33%	8%	1%	1%	0%	3.1%	1,000	mixed	24%
Probe Research	Nov 26 – Dec 10, 2024	[p 9]	53%	34%	6%	2%	2%	2%	3.1%	1,000	mixed	19%
Probe Research	Sep 5–15, 2024	[p 10]	56%	34%	4%	3%	1%	1%	3.1%	1,000	mixed	22%
Probe Research	May 28 – Jun 9, 2024	[p 11][p 12]	51%	38%	6%	1%	1%	1%	3.1%	1,000	mixed	13%
Probe Research	Mar 5–18, 2024	[p 13][p 14]	49%	37%	8%	1%	2%	2%	3.1%	1,000	mixed	12%
Probe Research	Nov 22 – Dec 1, 2023	[p 15][p 16]	51%	38%	7%	1%	2%	1%	3.1%	1,000	mixed	13%
2023 general election	October 3, 2023	[p 17]	45.63%	41.86%	10.63%	0.77%	0.74%	0.37%	—	—	—	3.77%
Polling firm	Dates conducted	Source						Others	Margin of error	Sample size	Polling method	Lead
			NDP	PC	Liberal	Keystone	Green