Science Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Human moon landing in 2026?

Science

Human moon landing in 2026?

$1m Vol.

$1m today

$29.4k Liq.

14

Ends in 11 months

6%

$1m Vol.

$1m today

$29.4k Liq.

14

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Science

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

$765k Vol.

$9.5k Liq.

7

64%

Successful splash down?

$765k Vol.

$9.5k Liq.

7

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$918k Vol.

$32.2k Liq.

11

Ends in 5 months

52%

8+

$918k Vol.

$32.2k Liq.

11

Ends in 5 months

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 2 - Feb 8?

Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 2 - Feb 8?

$33.1k Vol.

$9.1k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

48%

0

$33.1k Vol.

$9.1k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$624k Vol.

$41.4k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

50%

1.05–1.09ºC

$624k Vol.

$41.4k Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Precipitation in Seattle in January?

Science

Precipitation in Seattle in January?

$124k Vol.

$6.4k Liq.

8

100%

3-4"

$124k Vol.

$6.4k Liq.

8

NASA Artemis II

Science

NASA Artemis II

$153k Vol.

$24.2k Liq.

26

Ends in about 2 months

88%

March 31

$153k Vol.

$24.2k Liq.

26

Ends in about 2 months

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Science

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$108k Vol.

$8.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

31%

7-8

$108k Vol.

$8.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$434k Vol.

$35.4k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

32%

11–13

$434k Vol.

$35.4k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

Science

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

$57.8k Vol.

$39.2k Liq.

3

Ends in almost 2 years

27%

<1.0T

$57.8k Vol.

$39.2k Liq.

3

Ends in almost 2 years

SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Science

SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

$24.1k Vol.

$4.1k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

70%

$24.1k Vol.

$4.1k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

How many SpaceX launches in February?

Science

How many SpaceX launches in February?

$16.1k Vol.

$11.7k Liq.

Ends in 27 days

80%

11 or more

$16.1k Vol.

$11.7k Liq.

Ends in 27 days

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Science

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

$345k Vol.

$2.3k Liq.

2

Ends in 11 months

30%

$345k Vol.

$2.3k Liq.

2

Ends in 11 months

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Science

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

$221k Vol.

$9.1k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

88%

March 31

$221k Vol.

$9.1k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

$223k Vol.

$4.2k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

43%

$223k Vol.

$4.2k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

Science

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

$15.6k Vol.

$440 Liq.

Ends in 11 months

66%

$15.6k Vol.

$440 Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes Jan 26 - Feb 1?

Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes Jan 26 - Feb 1?

$149k Vol.

$8.9k Liq.

94%

0

$149k Vol.

$8.9k Liq.

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 4, 2026?

Science

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 4, 2026?

$14.9k Vol.

$5.5k Liq.

Ends in 5 days

90%

60 - 70

$14.9k Vol.

$5.5k Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Science

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$83.2k Vol.

$9.4k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

23%

$83.2k Vol.

$9.4k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many inches of snow in Washington D.C. in January?

Science

How many inches of snow in Washington D.C. in January?

$87.2k Vol.

$5.5k Liq.

3

99%

7-9

$87.2k Vol.

$5.5k Liq.

3

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