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Stock Valuation Checklist

A systematic, step-by-step checklist for evaluating whether a stock is fairly valued — based on the methods of Graham, Buffett, and Damodaran.

The Problem

Most investors skip steps when analyzing stocks. They anchor to a price, rush through financials, or rely on a single metric. This checklist ensures you cover every essential dimension before making a decision.

Quick Valuation Checklist

Step 1: Understand the Business (5 min)

□ Can I describe what this company does in one sentence?
□ How does it make money? (Revenue model)
□ Who are the customers? Are they diversified or concentrated?
□ What industry is it in? Is the industry growing, stable, or declining?
□ Who are the top 3 competitors?

Step 2: Financial Health Check (10 min)

PROFITABILITY
□ Revenue growth rate (5-year CAGR): ____%
□ Net profit margin: ____% (Compare to industry average)
□ Return on Equity (ROE): ____% (>15% is generally good)
□ Return on Invested Capital (ROIC): ____% (>10% beats most cost of capital)
□ Free Cash Flow positive? □ Yes □ No
□ FCF margin: ____%

BALANCE SHEET
□ Debt-to-Equity ratio: ____ (<1.0 preferred for non-financials)
□ Current ratio: ____ (>1.5 preferred)
□ Interest coverage ratio: ____ (>5x preferred)
□ Cash and equivalents: $____
□ Total debt: $____
□ Net debt/EBITDA: ____ (<3x preferred)

CONSISTENCY
□ Has revenue grown in 8+ of the last 10 years?
□ Has earnings grown in 7+ of the last 10 years?
□ Has the dividend been maintained or grown? (if applicable)
□ Any major earnings misses or restatements in the past 5 years?

Step 3: Competitive Advantage Assessment (10 min)

MOAT EVALUATION (check all that apply)
□ Brand power — Can the company charge premium prices?
□ Network effects — Does the product become more valuable with more users?
□ Switching costs — Would it be painful/expensive for customers to switch?
□ Cost advantages — Can it produce at lower cost than competitors?
□ Regulatory barriers — Are there licenses/regulations that limit competition?
□ Intangible assets — Patents, proprietary technology, data advantages?

MOAT STRENGTH
□ Strong (3+ factors, multi-decade track record)
□ Moderate (1-2 factors, proven but potentially at risk)
□ Weak or none (competitive commodity business)

Step 4: Management Quality (5 min)

□ CEO tenure: ____ years
□ Insider ownership: ____%  (Higher is generally better)
□ Capital allocation track record:
  □ Good — Consistent buybacks at fair prices, smart acquisitions
  □ Average — Mixed results
  □ Poor — Overpaying for acquisitions, empire building
□ Executive compensation: Reasonable relative to company size?
□ Any governance red flags? (Related party transactions, excessive dilution)
□ Management communication: Honest about problems or overly promotional?

Step 5: Valuation (15 min)

RELATIVE VALUATION
□ P/E ratio: ____ vs. industry average: ____ vs. 5-year average: ____
□ P/FCF ratio: ____ vs. industry average: ____
□ EV/EBITDA: ____ vs. industry average: ____
□ P/B ratio: ____ vs. industry average: ____
□ PEG ratio: ____ (<1 suggests undervaluation)

INTRINSIC VALUE (DCF)
□ Estimated future FCF growth rate: ____% (conservative)
□ Discount rate (WACC): ____%
□ Terminal growth rate: ____% (typically 2-3%)
□ Estimated intrinsic value per share: $____
□ Current market price: $____
□ Margin of safety: ____% (aim for 25%+ minimum)

REALITY CHECK
□ Does my valuation make intuitive sense?
□ Am I using reasonable assumptions, not "best case" numbers?
□ Would I still buy at 20% above the current price? If yes, I'm probably right.

Step 6: Risk Assessment (5 min)

□ What could go wrong in the next 2 years?
  1. ____________________
  2. ____________________
  3. ____________________

□ Is the company dependent on a single product/customer/geography?
□ Is there significant regulatory risk?
□ Is the industry being disrupted by technology?
□ Could AI/automation significantly impact the business model?
□ What happens to earnings in a recession?
□ Is the stock heavily shorted? (Short interest > 10%)

Step 7: Final Decision

SCORING
Business quality (1-10): ____
Financial health (1-10): ____
Competitive advantage (1-10): ____
Management quality (1-10): ____
Valuation attractiveness (1-10): ____
Risk level (1=high risk, 10=low risk): ____

TOTAL: ____/60

DECISION FRAMEWORK
□ Score 50+: Strong buy candidate at current prices
□ Score 40-49: Watchlist — wait for better entry point
□ Score 30-39: Pass — not enough conviction
□ Score <30: Clear avoid

MY DECISION: □ Buy □ Watchlist □ Pass
Position size: ____% of portfolio

How to Use This Checklist

  1. Print it out or copy it to your notes app
  2. Fill it out completely for every stock you consider buying
  3. Save your completed checklists — review them after 1 year to improve your process
  4. Be honest — the checklist only works if you're truthful with yourself

Where to Find the Data

Data Point Free Source
Financial statements SEC EDGAR
Key ratios Macrotrends
Insider ownership OpenInsider
Short interest Finviz
Industry comparisons TIKR

Related Resources

  • Investment principles by scenario: KeepRule — What would Buffett, Munger, or Dalio advise in your specific situation? Search 1,300+ principles from 27 legendary investors.
  • Psychology self-check: KeepRule Investment Psychology Test — Before using this checklist, identify your cognitive biases with a free 3-minute assessment.
  • Decision framework: Value Investing Decision Framework — A broader decision-making process for buy/hold/sell decisions.
  • Pre-investment bias audit: Investment Psychology Checklist — Check your mental state before analyzing.

Contributing

Found a step that's missing or could be improved? Open a PR!

License

CC0

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A systematic checklist for evaluating stock valuations — based on Graham, Buffett, and Damodaran methods

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