Trump Suspends Iran Strikes, Gas Prices Still at Risk

Breaking News: US-Iran Deal Fails to Address Israeli Concerns 🚨 • The proposed deal would give up Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium and reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for lifting sanctions and ending a US blockade • Critics argue that the deal does not address Iran's missiles or support for regional militant groups • Opposition leader Yair Lapid calls the deal "bad for Israel, bad for the region, and bad for the citizens of Iran" As the war against Iran reaches a critical juncture, it's clear that the proposed deal falls short of addressing Israel's concerns. With the fate of the Middle East hanging in the balance, it's crucial that we prioritize a solution that prioritizes Israeli security and sovereignty. Let's keep a close eye on this developing situation and work towards a lasting solution that benefits all parties involved. The future of the region depends on it! #USIranDeal #Israel #MiddleEast #InternationalRelations #ConflictResolution https://lnkd.in/gHBdEPfm

📢 Trump says Iran ceasefire is 'on life support' as hopes for a deal fade Former President Trump stated that the ceasefire in Iran is "on life support," indicating a deterioration in hopes for a diplomatic resolution. This commentary may heighten geopolitical tensions, impacting risk appetite among investors, particularly in energy markets and defense sectors. Oil prices could be sensitive to any escalation in conflict, as supply disruptions in the Middle East historically lead to volatility. Traders will be closely watching upcoming diplomatic engagements or statements from U.S. officials that could signal shifts in policy or military action. 🔗 Full context: https://lnkd.in/eaTXt8m6 Source: japantimes #TradingNewsTerminal #trading #markets #news #finance #forex #macro

📢 TRUMP WARNS U.S. COULD TAKE “DIFFERENT ROUTE” ON IRAN IF DEAL FAILS Former President Donald Trump indicated that the U.S. may pursue an alternative approach regarding Iran if ongoing negotiations fail. This statement heightens geopolitical tensions, potentially influencing risk appetite among investors, particularly in energy markets. Oil prices could be particularly sensitive due to concerns over supply disruptions stemming from renewed sanctions or military actions. Traders will be closely watching the upcoming diplomatic meetings and any official statements from the Biden administration regarding the Iran deal, as these could significantly impact market sentiment and asset volatility. 🔗 Full context: https://lnkd.in/eJsF5bEV Source: first squawk #TradingNewsTerminal #trading #markets #news #finance #forex #macro

Iranian state media is reporting that Tehran's latest proposal to Washington includes ending hostilities on all fronts, the withdrawal of U.S. forces from areas near Iran, reparations for war damage, lifting of sanctions, release of frozen funds and an end to the U.S. maritime blockade. Read more here: https://lnkd.in/ejnnmzfB

📢 Trump: Iran has been subjected to extremely powerful strikes and will need 20 years to rebuild its capabilities. Former President Donald Trump stated that Iran has faced significant military strikes and will require two decades to restore its capabilities. This assertion may influence geopolitical risk perceptions, particularly regarding U.S.-Iran relations and potential military engagements in the region. The channel of transmission here is risk appetite, as heightened tensions could lead to increased volatility in oil prices and energy markets, given Iran's role as a major oil producer. Markets most exposed include crude oil futures and regional equities, particularly those tied to energy and defense sectors. Traders will be attentive to any subsequent developments in U.S. foreign policy or military actions that could escalate tensions further. 🔗 Full context: https://lnkd.in/egZJDwF3 Source: first squawk #TradingNewsTerminal #trading #markets #news #finance #forex #macro

Defense Secretary Hegseth states 'the ceasefire is not over' following U.S. and Iran exchanging fire, referring to efforts to move ships through the Strait of Hormuz. Geopolitical tensions continue to affect energy markets. More at https://lnkd.in/geJKH2ii

I argue that Trump gave Xi a choice at the #USChinaSummit : continue their $400 billion trade relationship with the United States, or chose to sell missile tech to Iran and depend on Iranian oil. https://lnkd.in/ewNWVQh9 via @YouTube

Iran’s position in talks with the U.S. to end the war hasn’t changed much from earlier iterations that failed to yield progress toward a deal, regional mediators and U.S. officials familiar with the terms said, raising questions about whether an offramp to the conflict can be found.

US nears launching new massive strikes against Iran A new phase of military escalation, including large-scale strikes on Iranian territory, appears most likely if no progress is made in the negotiations between Washington and Tehran, experts say. Expectations of renewed hostilities intensified on the very first day of Project Freedom, which US President Donald Trump announced on the night of May 4. The operation is aimed at ensuring the safe passage of ships blocked in the Persian Gulf. The likelihood of renewed US-Israeli strikes against Iran remains very high, although this is not particularly beneficial for Trump, Pavel Koshkin, a senior researcher at the US and Canadian Studies Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences, told Vedomosti. According to the expert, the US leader’s latest threats against Tehran are part of his plan to create the illusion of control over the situation. "Trump is in a very vulnerable position. He wants to act from a position of strength, but if war with Iran were to resume, the president’s domestic political standing would weaken further," he said. Another argument in favor of Trump’s desire to delay a sharp resumption of attacks is the rate at which US weapons stockpiles are being depleted. According to data from US analysts, over the course of several weeks, the Americans have used up between 30% and 80% of their stockpiles of various types of strike and anti-missile weapons. However, even Tehran is unsure how to resolve the current situation, Ivan Bocharov, program manager at the Russian International Affairs Council, emphasized. At the same time, he believes that Tehran understands its demands for the lifting of sanctions, official permission to develop its nuclear program, and security guarantees are unlikely to be met. "Iran is acting primarily reactively, adapting to changes in the situation. Increased pressure from the US, including around the Strait of Hormuz, is perceived as an attempt at coercion. Iran views its own countermeasures, including demonstratively tough signals, as a forced reaction. Tehran is ready to maintain a state of chronic tension, avoiding both a full-scale war and a lasting peace," Bocharov added. If hostilities cease without a political settlement, Iran will most likely continue to use the Strait of Hormuz as a tool of pressure. Changing this position will require significant external pressure or substantial concessions from the US, he concluded. #business #finance #financialservices

🇺🇸 IRAN WAR: POSSIBLE DEAL NEARING Big developments today — the US and Iran are getting close to a one-page, 14-point Memorandum of Understanding to end the active fighting. According to reports from Axios, Reuters, and the Jerusalem Post: Iran would agree to a 15-year moratorium on uranium enrichment and give away / transfer its stockpile of enriched uranium. Both sides would lift their blockades and fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz for shipping. The US would provide some sanctions relief and release frozen Iranian funds. This would kick off a 30-day window for more detailed final negotiations. Pakistan is heavily mediating. The US expects Iran’s formal response within the next 48 hours. President Trump has given Iran a one-week deadline overall and warned of much stronger military action if they walk away. This comes after the US declared the main offensive phase (“Operation Epic Fury”) over and paused Project Freedom in the Strait to give diplomacy a chance. We’ll see if Iran accepts the terms or if talks collapse. A framework ceasefire could be very close. What do you think — good move or too much too soon? Drop your thoughts below. #IranWar #IranDeal #StraitOfHormuz