Understanding your process state: Chaos, Brink, Threshold, Ideal

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🤔 Do you know the state of your process? I love this graphic from "Understanding Statistical Process Control" by Wheeler and Chambers (p. 12-17). There's a lot here. In class, I step through it with animation to explain the components. I added a few small notes, can you spot them? Sustained improvement depends on taking the right type of action. But if we don’t understand what state our process is in, we risk wasting effort or making things worse. 🚨 Chaos It’s clear something’s wrong, but improving performance shouldn't be the priority. At this stage, the focus must be on stabilization. Raising potential now is like building on sand. Besides, the process isn't operating at full potential yet, so there's no point in raising it. ⚠️ Brink of Chaos Everything seems fine, but it’s not. You hear things like “I hope that problem doesn’t come back,” even though no root causes were addressed. Hope is not a strategy. Without action on assignable causes, the process will slip back into Chaos. 📈 Threshold Now the process is stable, predictable, and consistent. But if the variation is still beyond what the customer will accept, stability alone isn’t enough. This is where improvement requires fundamental system changes. No root cause will be found, variation itself is to blame. Reduce variation in the critical inputs to reduce variation in the process output. 🎯 Ideal Outputs are on target with minimal variation. At this point, the priority becomes maintaining this state. That means monitoring with process behavior charts and avoiding tampering when only common cause variation is present. These charts show us the truth. Without them, we’re just guessing. Which state are your key processes in? #OPEX #CriticalThinking #ProcessImprovement #SPC #ContinuousImprovement

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Love this Anthony Welsh , I have found that most teams operate on the brink of chaos, but if you were to ask leadership, they would say they are closer to threshold or ideal. Unfortunately a lot of our ‘near-miss’ and small problems that aren’t yet a big problems simply don’t get surfaced.

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