Market Note: Iran Conflict Impact on Equities

For much of the history of the stock market, investing was primarily about individual stocks and bonds. Over the past few decades, however, macroeconomic developments have increasingly influenced markets. Significant events, whether related to central bank policy, geopolitics, or global trade, now affect nearly all stocks across the market, regardless of their individual stories. For investors, this means that building modern portfolios is less about finding attractive stocks, and more about making asset allocation decisions that are aligned with financial goals. This has been the case over the past year and a half, since the two biggest macroeconomic drivers have been the war in Iran and U.S. tariff policy. While these are quite different, they both affect consumer prices and business demand, either directly through higher energy prices or indirectly through the cost of imported goods. A key characteristic of these macro-driven events, however, is that their effects tend to fade over time. Thus, it’s important for investors to stay focused on the longer-term trends, and avoid the temptation to make portfolio changes based on a single event. Read this full post and previous posts at https://lnkd.in/gFcWpX6E

Markets rallied in April, but uncertainty didn’t fade. Explore how oil volatility, inflation pressures and regional trends shaped non-US equities. #GlobalInvesting https://hubs.ly/Q04gmmwK0

𝗥𝗶𝘀𝗸 𝗮𝗽𝗽𝗲𝘁𝗶𝘁𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗻𝘀 𝗮𝘀 𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗲 April saw a sharp recovery in global risk appetite as trade tensions eased, the US dollar weakened and equities rebounded across developed and emerging markets. Emerging markets outperformed, supported by renewed demand for higher-risk assets, while commodities were mixed as energy prices rose and precious metals retreated from elevated levels. Key highlights:  - Global equities recovered as trade tensions eased and risk appetite improved.  - Emerging markets outperformed as US dollar weakness supported higher-risk assets.  - Commodities were mixed, with energy prices rising while precious metals retreated.  - We explore the key themes that shaped April’s recovery across equities, commodities, fixed income and currencies. Read the full Global market commentary here: https://lnkd.in/euPRmnKU Stay informed – subscribe here https://lnkd.in/e6tjyJxW  for insightful perspectives from the RisCura Global Commentary. #GlobalMarkets #MarketCommentary #EmergingMarkets #RiskAssets #TradePolicy #DollarWeakness

Limiting exposure to one economy increases risk. International equities and global fixed income can improve long-term risk-adjusted returns. Currency and geopolitical factors must be considered alongside opportunity. #GlobalInvesting #AssetAllocation #MarketStrategy

Emerging market stocks and currencies edged up in light trading as most markets were shut for Labour Day. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 0.2%, l... Full News 👇 Read More @ https://lnkd.in/gqzv5gEK #EmergingMarkets, #MSCIEM, #UAEStocks, #KoreanWon, #PolishZloty

Pakistan Stock Exchange prepares for a volatile May as IMF decisions and geopolitical developments influence investor sentiment. Market participants remain cautious amid uncertainty surrounding external and domestic factors. These dynamics are expected to shape trading patterns and overall market direction. Read more: https://lnkd.in/daha7raW Pakistan Stock Exchange - PSX | International Monetary Fund #PSX #StockMarket #InvestorSentiment #IMF #PakistanEconomy #CapitalMarkets #MarketVolatility #EconomicOutlook #Investing #Finance #Geopolitics #Trading #PakistanFinance #Markets #Equities

In this Month’s EMI, we discuss the divergence in equity returns between MSCI India and MSCI US, track evolving macro signals, and decode what recent market trends mean for investors. We’re here with the May edition of our E.M.I. series: Economy, Markets and Investments with Mr Arjun Nagarajan, Chief Economist & Commodities Fund Manager. Watch the full video: https://lnkd.in/gZUDe-Sf Check out the blog here: https://lnkd.in/gXD97QJf  

A lot for markets to digest right now. I’m watching two developments particularly closely this week: the Trump-Xi discussions in China and the growing pressure building across emerging markets like India. Any shift in tone coming out of the US-China talks could have a meaningful impact on risk sentiment and safe-haven flows. At the same time, India is beginning to signal impact from higher oil prices and inflation pressures, which has direct impact on global gold markets. This is at a time when investors navigate ongoing rates uncertainty, stabilizing ETF flows and the arrival of a new Fed chair this week. Plenty of moving pieces right now… and markets are likely to react quickly to every headline. #Gold #Markets

Welcome to the Macroeconomic Spotlight on Tin Tức Chứng Khoán 24h today, May 24, 2026. The market is experiencing intense volatility as the VN-Index officially lost the psychological 1,900-point mark, ending an eight-week winning streak. This correction is driven by two main factors: the inauguration of new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, sparking expectations of aggressive monetary tightening, and a massive sell-off in the gold market, with SJC gold plunging 30 million VND from its peak. Global gold dropping below 4,500 USD/oz, coupled with SPDR's net selling, indicates capital is rotating out of safe havens. In Vietnam, exchange rate pressure is mounting as banks hike USD buying prices, forcing investors into a cautious 'wait-and-see' mode. However, macroeconomic bright spots remain in high-tech FDI inflows and massive infrastructure projects like THACO's 4.4 billion USD bauxite complex. Current market sentiment is overreacting to US leadership changes, yet this serves as a crucial filter for quality stocks. To stay ahead of critical macro shifts, follow Tin Tức Chứng Khoán 24h now!

Markets have shown remarkable resilience since May 2 as investors balanced geopolitical risk from the Iran conflict — which has driven Brent crude to extreme volatility between $100–$114/bbl — against record-high S&P 500 and Nasdaq levels fueled by AI-driven earnings enthusiasm. Bond markets remain unsettled as traditional safe-haven correlations break down, with the 10-year Treasury yield hovering near 4.35% amid growing stagflation fears and Goldman Sachs pushing rate cut expectations to late 2026.