#Ukraine needs to rebuild its economy, attract sustainable foreign investment, and establish itself as a technology hub that can thrive in the postwar era. The #Gulf states need to accelerate their technology transitions, diversify their strategic partnerships, and develop genuine domestic innovation capacity rather than simply buying capabilities off the shelf from Western defense contractors. These are not competing objectives. They are, in important respects, the same objective approached from different directions. My last piece for the Atlantic Council
Ukraine's Postwar Economic Rebuild and Gulf States' Tech Transitions
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Great interview by Jeremy C.-H. Wang , COO and co-founder of Ribbit. He gave an excellent talk and explanation of the new Defence Industrial Strategy. Well worth the 5 minute watch
Hot off the morning press 🗞️, our very own Jeremy C.-H. Wang appeared on CTV News Your Morning to discuss the latest funding announcements for the Drone Innovation Hub (DIH). This initiative is being supported via our partners at the National Research Council Canada / Conseil national de recherches Canada and will play a key role in supporting important drone technology development in Canada. Congratulations on the new Bombardier Global 6500, a beautiful example of Canadian engineering excellence! ✈️ https://lnkd.in/eJfamkZZ
Ottawa Pledges Nearly $1 Billion for Defence Innovation | Your Morning
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𝗨𝗞–𝗨𝗸𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗗𝗿𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝗣𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗻𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗵𝗶𝗽: 𝗙𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝗕𝗮𝘁𝘁𝗹𝗲𝗳𝗶𝗲𝗹𝗱 𝗔𝗱𝘃𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗘𝘅𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁 𝗣𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 During President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to London, the United Kingdom and Ukraine agreed to deepen cooperation on drone technology — with a clear ambition: move from battlefield innovation to global export. ⚙️ This is not just another defence agreement. It is a shift toward turning Ukraine’s wartime experience into an industrial and strategic asset. 🛰️ The partnership combines Ukraine’s real-world expertise in #DroneWarfare — built against mass Russian attacks — with the UK’s industrial base, financing capacity, and access to international markets. 🎯 The objective is explicit: Develop, scale, and export drone and counter-drone solutions to third countries. 🌍 That includes regions already under pressure from Iranian-style UAV threats, particularly across the #MiddleEast. ⚠️ This marks a structural evolution. Ukraine is no longer only a recipient of military aid. It is becoming a supplier of combat-proven capabilities. 📌 The implications go beyond technology. This is about positioning Ukraine inside the global defence ecosystem — not just as a frontline state, but as a producer shaping how modern #AirDefense and #CUAS systems evolve. At the same time, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer reaffirmed continued political and military support for Kyiv, warning against letting geopolitical distractions weaken focus on Ukraine. :contentReference[oaicite:0]{index=0} 💡 In parallel, discussions also highlighted: – integration of AI in drone systems – joint financing mechanisms with European partners – scaling production through combined industrial capacity :contentReference[oaicite:1]{index=1} ⚡ The direction is clear. Drones are no longer just tactical tools. They are becoming export commodities, strategic leverage, and instruments of influence. 💬 𝘞𝘢𝘳 𝘯𝘰 𝘭𝘰𝘯𝘨𝘦𝘳 𝘫𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴 𝘥𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘶𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯. 𝘐𝘵 𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴 𝘪𝘯𝘥𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘪𝘦𝘴.
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Anyone following the war in Ukraine knows drones have already changed how we fight. What we are underestimating is that future warfare will depend less on traditional defense manufacturing and more on consumer electronics scale. Rodrigo Nieto Gómez’s piece helps confirm something I’ve been thinking about for a while, and thanks to him for going down the rabbit hole on the history behind these systems. A good example in the drone world is China-based DJI, producing sophisticated drones at massive consumer electronics scale, while hyperscalers already provide the infrastructure used to manage huge fleets of connected devices. Add AI as the coordination layer and you start to see distributed fleets of autonomous systems that flip the unit economics of warfare and make the U.S. defense industrial model built around “exquisite systems” the real supply chain risk.
Geopolitics, foresight, innovation and entrepreneurship in homeland and national security and defense
Don't go down a rabbit hole I tell thesis students. I ended up going down -deep down- to one, and this is the result. A $35,000 drone, built by a ten-person startup in Arizona, reverse-engineered from an Iranian design that was itself descended from a joint US-German Cold War program, just saw its first combat in Iran, which combines the riveting worlds of procurement and appropriation and drone tech and giving us a first glimpse of why the Iran conflict tells is now confirming what we already knew: The US needs to change, fast, how it procures tech. https://lnkd.in/g5MQd-Za
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A $1 Billion+ wake-up call for the global defense industry. 🛡️💻 The paradigm has officially shifted. The future of protection isn’t just about exquisite, multi-billion dollar legacy systems; it’s about battle-hardened, cost-effective autonomy that actually works in the world’s most contested environments. 🌍 Today, we are thrilled to spotlight a historic milestone for the Ukrainian ecosystem: UFORCE has officially achieved Unicorn Status with a valuation exceeding $1 Billion! 🦄✨ Born in the trenches and refined over four years of intense conflict, UFORCE consolidated nine specialized Ukrainian defense companies into a single, multi-domain powerhouse covering Air, Sea, and Land. Here is why the global venture community is betting big on them: 💰 The Round: A fresh $50 Million investment led by tech heavyweights Shield Capital and Lakestar, with strategic participation from Ballistic Ventures. 👥 The Leadership: A unique fusion of Silicon Valley agility and geopolitical weight: CEO Oleg Rogynskyy (the AI mind behind People.ai) Founder Oleksiy Honcharuk (former PM of Ukraine) Board Member Ben Wallace (former UK Defence Secretary) From the MAGURA maritime drones that rewrote naval strategy 🌊 to high-volume C-UAS interceptors designed to neutralize threats like the Iranian Shahed 🚁, UFORCE is scaling 150,000+ missions of combat experience into a global strategic asset. Ukraine is no longer just a testing ground; it is the ultimate R&D hub for the future of democratic defense. 🇺🇦🤝🌐 How did they consolidate nine companies into a unicorn during active war? How will they scale to protect Europe and the Middle East? Read our full editorial analysis on the TechUkraine portal: https://lnkd.in/d5x5HGZb #DefenseTech #UFORCE #GlobalSecurity #VentureCapital #TechUkraine #Unicorn #MilTech #Innovation #UkraineTech #DeepTech #ShieldCapital #Lakestar #BallisticVentures
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Recent international coverage highlights the evolving concept of “smart minefields” along NATO’s eastern flank, integrating sensor networks, communication layers, and autonomous decision-support systems. Notably, the discussion includes reference to MBF Group S.A. as part of a broader ecosystem contributing to next-generation defensive solutions developed in cooperation with Ukrainian partners. This reflects a clear shift from static, legacy deterrence systems toward adaptive, network-centric architectures capable of real-time detection, identification, and coordinated response. https://lnkd.in/duFP_z3Q via The National Interest For MBF Group S.A., this type of visibility confirms alignment with key strategic trends shaping modern defense: sensor fusion, autonomous systems, and integration with UAV/C-UAS platforms. The growing role of Ukraine as both operational partner and co-developer further underscores the acceleration of innovation driven by real battlefield conditions. From a market perspective, it is also a strong signal that future defense investments will increasingly focus on scalable, intelligent systems—where interoperability, data processing, and rapid deployment capabilities become decisive factors. #MBFGroup #DefenceTech #SmartMinefields #NATO #C_UAS #UAV #AutonomousSystems #SensorFusion #MilitaryInnovation #DualUse #BorderSecurity #FutureWarfare #DefenseIndustry #PolishTechnology
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The recent drone strikes in #azerbaijan Nakhchivan region mark a worrying escalation that threatens to destabilise the delicate power dynamics of the #caucasus. With #iran signalling now casting a shadow over the critical Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) pipeline, the security of #europe #energy markets is facing an urgent and sophisticated set of risks. #specialeurasia latest report explores how this friction between Baku and Tehran could inadvertently draw in regional heavyweights and trigger significant volatility in global oil and gas supplies. Read the full analysis and our scenario forecasts here: https://lnkd.in/da7CvxFF #geopolitics #middleeast #foreignaffairs #drones #security #geopoliticalrisk #riskassessment
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The Partnership for Indo-Pacific Industrial Resilience (PIPIR) appears to fly under the radar - but should this get more attention by defence industry in Australia and NZ? As a ‘new kid on the block’ PIPIR is helping bolster defence supply chains towards a more resilient industrial base across the Indo-Pacific. Launched in 2024, the group held its second annual plenary meeting virtually on 18 March, with a joint statement reaffirming shared commitments. PIPIR now brings together 16 nations: the USA, Australia, Canada, Germany, Italy, Japan, Lithuania, the Netherlands, NZ, Norway, Philippines, Republic of Korea, Singapore, Sweden, Thailand (new), and the UK (new). Adding Thailand and UK significantly bridges the Indo-Pacific with the Euro-Atlantic community for strategic reach. Key outcomes include endorsement of a 2026 Roadmap focused on accelerating defence industrial cooperation through: - Building a collective and integrated defense industrial base - Integrating and de-risking supply chains - Enhancing sustainment and forward repair capabilities - Removing policy and regulatory barriers to collaboration Deliverables to date include: - Establishing a P8 sustainment hub in Sth Australia (to be expanded to Indo-Pacific operators) - Advancing cooperation for SUAVs, including industry surveys, reciprocal standards, and common procurement approaches. New initiatives announced: - Exploring a forward-deployed F100/F110 engine repair hub in Japan (to support F-15 and F-16 platforms regionally) - Advancing a CH-47 Chinook T-55 engine repair hub in the Republic of Korea - Launching a U.S.-Japan solid rocket motor (SRM) production initiative (chaired by Japan) - Assessing potential for a 30mm ammunition pack line in the Philippines - Pursuing modular UAV co-production across various mission sets The partnership emphasizes expert exchanges, tabletop exercises, collaborative events, and tools like a project development guide to improve efficiency and transparency among governments and industry. In an era of increasing strategic competition and supply chain vulnerabilities, PIPIR represents a practical, multilateral step toward shared resilience, interoperability, and deterrence. It's a reminder that strengthening alliances needs to drill down to the level of industrial capacity and supply chains. For the full joint statement: https://lnkd.in/ge_skTri #DefenseIndustry #IndoPacific #SupplyChainResilience #InternationalCooperation #PIPIR
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Strategy isn’t a slogan—it’s a supply chain. If you want to change outcomes, hit the nodes that make the fight possible. What’s happening in and around the Strait of Hormuz is a case study in decisive operations: move from swatting threats at the edge to disabling the factory floor that produces them. Targeting mine-laying capacity and one-way attack drone production isn’t just tactical—it’s operational leverage. You reduce risk to shipping, raise the adversary’s cost of doing business, and buy decision space for commanders. From a United States Department of War technology adoption lens, three realities stand out: 1.) Upstream interdiction beats downstream interception. We need rapid targeting of manufacture, storage, and logistics—not just kinetic intercepts. That demands multi-INT fusion, high-confidence entity resolution, and AI-enabled anomalies that keep pace with dispersed, dual-use production. 2.) Mine warfare is back at the center of maritime relevance. Winning here is about left-of-boom detection, autonomous MCM, resilient C2, and modular payloads on unmanned surface and subsurface platforms. If your tech can’t survive the surf zone, operate in clutter, and deliver near-real-time classification with low false positives, it’s not ready. 3.) Speed of adoption matters more than perfection. Fielding counter-UAS and MCM capability in weeks—not years—means production-grade software pipelines, open architectures, and training data that reflects operational noise, not lab conditions. Put solutions in sailors’ hands, iterate in the field, and measure by mission impact: shipping lanes open, sortie rates sustained, operators’ cognitive load down. Bottom line: Execution wins. Build for the fight we have, instrument it to learn fast, and ruthlessly scale what works. That’s how you turn technology into maritime security and deterrence that lasts. https://lnkd.in/ghaTn4Gp #DoW #USNavy #MaritimeSecurity #StraitOfHormuz #MineWarfare #CounterUAS #Autonomy #UnmannedSystems #AIISR #OperationalExcellence #MissionImpact #IndustrialBase #OpenArchitecture #C2 #EdgeComputing
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The Strait of Hormuz is rewriting the case for maritime autonomy in real time. Three weeks into Operation Epic Fury, commercial transit through Hormuz has collapsed by roughly 95%. Iran is operating a selective blockade, vetting vessels through IRGC-controlled corridors and granting passage based on geopolitical alignment while shutting out Western-affiliated traffic. At least 21 vessels attacked. 40,000 seafarers stranded. Brent crude past $126 a barrel at its peak. The IMO convened an emergency session in London. This is the largest disruption to global energy supply since the 1970s. And it’s exposing a structural truth the defense community has been circling for years: We are asking manned platforms to absorb risks that unmanned systems were designed for. The Hormuz crisis is demonstrating in real time what naval strategists have argued in theory. Chokepoints create asymmetric vulnerability. Distributed presence reduces targeting risk. And the cost calculus fundamentally changes when you can project sensors and payloads without putting sailors in the kill chain. Iran is mining straits, launching drone boats, jamming GPS, and selectively controlling access to the world’s most critical energy corridor. The response demands exactly what autonomous maritime systems provide: persistent surveillance, distributed lethality, mine countermeasures, and scalable presence without proportional risk to human life. Meanwhile, the signals are converging. The 2026 NDS places the maritime domain at the center of homeland defense. Anduril was selected for the Navy’s CAMP program for extra-large autonomous underwater vehicles. The UK is advancing Project Beehive for uncrewed surface vessels. Production-ready autonomous platforms are entering construction at American shipyards. The industry is moving. But the gap between strategy documents and fielded capability is no longer just an acquisition problem. It’s an operational one, playing out on the evening news. The ocean doesn’t wait for the budget cycle. Neither should we. #MaritimeAutonomy #DefenseTech #NavalStrategy #UnmannedSystems #MaritimeSecurity #StraitOfHormuz #DistributedMaritimeOperations #USV #UUV #DefenseInnovation #NavalPower #MaritimeDefense #AutonomousVessels
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Within 24 hours of the first US-Israeli strikes on Iran, ships in the region’s waters found their navigation systems had gone haywire, erroneously indicating that the vessels were at airports, a nuclear power plant and on Iranian land. The location confusion was a result of widespread jamming and spoofing of signals from global positioning satellite systems. Used by all sides in conflict zones to disrupt the paths of drones and missiles, the process involves militaries and affiliated groups intentionally broadcasting high-intensity radio signals in the same frequency bands used by navigation tools. Jamming results in the disruption of a vehicle’s satellite-based positioning while spoofing leads to navigation systems reporting a false location. Though commercial vessels are not the target, the electronic interference disrupted the navigation systems of more than 1,100 commercial ships in UAE, Qatari, Omani and Iranian waters on February 28, according to a report from Windward, a shipping intelligence firm. Jamming and spoofing also slowed marine traffic moving through the Strait of Hormuz, a congested shipping lane that handles roughly 20% of the world’s oil and gas exports and where precise navigation is essential, Windward’s data showed. Traffic through the critical waterway has since ground to a near halt, with vessels being attacked and insurers dropping maritime coverage. “What we’re seeing in the Middle East Gulf at the moment, is extremely dangerous for maritime navigation,” said Michelle Wiese Bockmann, a senior maritime intelligence analyst at the company. Windward said the interference forced some tankers to reverse course or go dark, a state in which signals from a vessel’s Automatic Identification System, or AIS — which automatically transmits key information about a vessel such as position, speed and rate of turn — are no longer broadcast or detected. “You don’t know where ships are. The whole point of AIS is collision avoidance,” she said. “When you have vessels thrown onto land or thousands of nautical miles across the sea, it is deeply, deeply troubling and dangerous.” Windward in its analysis identified 21 new clusters where ships’ AIS were being jammed in the region in the first 24 hours after the Iran war began. A day later that number had jumped to 38, Bockmann said. Maritime data and analytics company Lloyd’s List Intelligence said it had logged 1,735 GPS interference events affecting 655 vessels, each typically lasting three to four hours, between the start of the war and March 3. Daily incidents have more than doubled, rising from 350 when the conflict began to 672 by March 2, the firm reported. As use of this warfare tactic grows, experts worry the impacts could reach far beyond battlespaces. Full story: https://lnkd.in/gjtfrFC6
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