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Space Exploration

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    $\begingroup$ Interesting. Clearly not an explosion in the technical sense, but definitely seems like it meets the criteria as stated. $\endgroup$ Commented 2 days ago
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    $\begingroup$ @Daniel How so? The resolution rules (which you omitted in the question) state "The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by NASA, as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary." This evidence has to be collected and posted within 60 minutes of impact. That's not going to happen. $\endgroup$ Commented yesterday
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    $\begingroup$ @Daniel yeah their definition of what constitutes an explosion is absolutely not how normal people would define an explosion (which usually is defined involving some sort of combustion or internal overpressure event) $\endgroup$ Commented yesterday
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    $\begingroup$ @DavidHammen It does not say the evidence has to be collected within 60 minutes of splashdown, it says the explosion has to happen. Maybe 10 seconds after splashdown, the FTS shorts out and blows. $\endgroup$ Commented 6 hours ago
  • $\begingroup$ @DavidHammen yeah as for what will happen with the market, I suspect there won't be evidence either way so it'll eventually resolve 50/50. The reason I say it seems like it meets the criteria is because the way the rules define an explosion is extremely loose. It doesn't seem to require any kind of combustion or blast wave. Just a violent, catastrophic event that destroys at least part of the vehicle. Crashing into the water seems very much within that definition $\endgroup$ Commented 3 hours ago