AI-Enhanced Project Forecasting
& EAC Management

How an engineering firm reduced project forecasting time by 80% and cut budget overruns by 15-20% with real-time Dynamics 365 integration.

Project Overruns Are an Industry-Wide Problem

Engineering and construction projects routinely exceed their budgets. The root cause isn't bad engineering - it's bad forecasting infrastructure.

When project managers lack real-time visibility into actual costs vs. estimates, overruns develop silently. By the time a variance shows up in a monthly spreadsheet review, it's too late to course-correct.

35%
of engineering projects exceed budget by more than 10%
McKinsey Capital Projects Report, 2025
8-12 hrs
average time project managers spend on monthly cost updates
PMI Pulse of the Profession, 2025
$1.3T
annual construction industry waste from poor project controls
BCG Construction Technology Report, 2025

Enterprise project management tools exist, but they're built for mega-projects. Mid-sized engineering firms running Dynamics 365 or Sage are often stuck with spreadsheets. That's where this story starts.

Meet the Client

A 350-person engineering and construction firm running Dynamics 365. They managed 40+ active projects simultaneously, each with labor, materials, subcontractors, and equipment costs tracked separately.

Every month, each project manager spent 8-12 hours pulling actual costs from Dynamics 365, typing them into an Excel forecast template, and manually calculating EAC (Estimate at Completion). The process was slow, error-prone, and disconnected from the ERP.

Budget overruns averaged 15-20% across the portfolio. Some overruns were caught early. Many weren't - they surfaced during quarterly reviews when margins had already eroded.

"By the time I found out a project was over budget, we'd already burned through the margin. The data was there - we just couldn't see it fast enough." - Senior Project Manager, Client Company

This wasn't a project management problem - it was a data visibility gap. All the cost data existed in Dynamics 365. But it lived in silos, and project managers were manually bridging the gap between ERP data and financial forecasts.

The Monthly Forecasting Cycle

1
Export actuals from D365
Manual per project
2
Paste into Excel
Format inconsistencies
3
Calculate EAC manually
8-12 hrs per PM
4
Build variance charts
Static snapshots
5
Email to leadership
Already stale data
6
Discover overruns late
15-20% avg. miss

With 40+ projects, the collective time spent on manual forecasting exceeded 400 hours per month across the organization. And the output - static spreadsheets - was rarely trusted by leadership.

How We Built the AI Solution

We built a custom EAC management platform integrated directly with Dynamics 365. Project managers now enter their forecasts for remaining work, while the system automatically pulls real-time actuals from the ERP.

The AI component analyzes historical patterns across the project portfolio - labor productivity rates, material cost inflation, subcontractor performance - and flags projects that are trending toward overruns before the overruns happen.

The operating model centered on one principle: project managers should forecast from live project cost context, not from screenshots and static month-end workbook snapshots.

Actual costs flowed from Dynamics 365 into the forecasting workflow through API, remaining-work estimates were recorded against the same project structure, and the AI layer evaluated labor, materials, subcontractors, and equipment trends to surface margin pressure early. That gave project managers one governed review path instead of separate exports, chart decks, and spreadsheet versions.

Real-Time Cost Tracking

Actuals sync from Dynamics 365 automatically - no manual exports, no copy-paste

AI Early Warning

Projects trending over budget are flagged with specific cost category attribution

Structured Variance Review

Forecast changes, cost category movement, and margin impact are reviewed in one controlled workflow instead of disconnected chart packs

Mobile Dashboards

Project managers get real-time updates from any device - on-site or in the office

Before vs. After

Metric
Before
After
Monthly forecasting time
8-12 hours per PM
< 2 hours per PM
Budget overrun rate
15-20% average
< 5% with early alerts
Data freshness
Monthly snapshots
Real-time (D365 sync)
Overrun detection speed
30-60 days late
Same week (AI alerts)
Annual savings per project
Baseline
$11K+ per project

Results That Scale

<2 hrsMonthly forecasting
(was 8-12 hrs)
110+Hours saved
per project/year
15-20%Reduction in
budget overruns
$11K+Annual savings
per project

With 40+ active projects, the total annual impact exceeded 4,400 hours saved and $440K+ in overrun prevention - before counting the value of faster executive decision-making and improved bid accuracy on future projects.

Are Your Project Forecasts Still in Spreadsheets?

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8-Week Rollout

Weeks 1-2: Connect

Dynamics 365 API integration, cost category mapping, and historical data import for AI baseline training.

Weeks 3-4: Build

Core EAC dashboard and calculation engine. Real-time budget vs. actuals tracking with variance attribution.

Weeks 5-6: Alert

AI early-warning system, cost trend analysis, mobile optimization, and PM commentary features.

Weeks 7-8: Launch

User training for all PMs, parallel testing vs. spreadsheet process, and full production go-live.

★★★★★
"We turned project forecasting from a monthly burden into a real-time, proactive process. Project managers now have confidence in their numbers, and leadership gets fewer surprises. The overrun alerts alone have paid for the entire system twice over."
Roman K.
Roman K.VP of Engineering Operations

Frequently Asked Questions

EAC is the projected total cost of a project at completion, combining actual costs incurred to date with forecasted remaining costs. AI-enhanced EAC management automates this by pulling real-time actuals from ERP systems like Dynamics 365 and using predictive models to forecast remaining costs based on historical productivity patterns and current trends.
AI analyzes patterns across your entire project portfolio - labor utilization rates, material cost trends, subcontractor performance, and change order frequency. It identifies projects trending over budget before overruns materialize and provides early-warning alerts with specific cost category attribution, so PMs can take action proactively.
Yes. The platform connects to Dynamics 365 via API, pulling real-time actuals for labor, materials, subcontractors, and equipment. It also works with SAP, Oracle, and other ERP systems that provide API access to project cost data.
A typical implementation takes 6-8 weeks, including ERP integration, dashboard development, AI training on historical project data, mobile optimization, and parallel testing against existing spreadsheet processes.
Engineering firms typically see $11K+ in annual savings per project, 110+ hours saved per project per year, and a 15-20% reduction in budget overruns. With multiple active projects, the total impact scales quickly - a firm with 40 projects can expect $440K+ in annual value.
Vit Ulitovskiy

Vit Ulitovskiy, MBA

Finance Leader at Ledger Summit

Vit is a seasoned finance leader with over 20 years of experience across healthcare, engineering, and consulting. He has led end-to-end M&A integrations, built finance teams from the ground up, and now focuses on bringing AI-powered automation to project finance and accounting workflows.

His specialty: helping engineering and construction firms replace manual, spreadsheet-based project forecasting with intelligent, real-time EAC systems.

MBAProject FinanceEAC ManagementERP Integration

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