SoDy

🌍 World Adaptation Forum 2026 Florian Ulrich Jehn Resilience | Anthropocene risk | Systemic patterns Florian Ulrich Jehn examines how resilience is shaped — and constrained — in the Anthropocene, where human activity has become a dominant force driving systemic risk and instability. At WAF 2026, he will speak on: 🧩 Patterns of Collapse: Resilience in the Anthropocene This session explores recurring patterns of breakdown across social and ecological systems, and what resilience realistically means when collapse dynamics are already in motion. 🎧 English language session with Hungarian simultaneous interpretation 🎟️ Participation is available through paid access 📍 Join us in Budapest or online 🔗 Program and tickets: https://lnkd.in/dVjwG2zN 🎥 Subscribe to the World Adaptation Forum YouTube channel and watch videos from our past events: https://lnkd.in/devUWexd #WorldAdaptationForum #Resilience #Anthropocene #SystemicRisk #Polycrisis #Adaptation Gaya Herrington, Dr David Betz, Pablo Servigne, Sarah Hendel-Blackford, Leon Simons, Roberta Boscolo, George Tsakraklides, Maya Frost, Danilo Brozović, Elisabeth van Ebbenhorst Tengbergen, Wim Naudé, Florian Ulrich Jehn, David Jácome-Polit, Juan B. García Martínez, Francis Ludlow, David Korowicz, Balazs Matics, Gajda Mihály, Gelencsér András, Ugo Bardi, Ginie Servant-Miklos, Kornélia Radics, Raphaël Stevens, Derrick Jensen, Iñigo Capellán-Pérez, Ferenc Jordán, Peter Buda, Jem Bendell, Simon Michaux, Szilvi Gyurkó.

🛩️ 𝗛𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘆'𝘀 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗹𝗹𝗲𝗱 𝗖𝗿𝗮𝘀𝗵𝗲𝘀? ✨https://lnkd.in/ecBvja7p We read with keen interest this recent #Resilience post from Jem Bendell and Rupert Read, positing some cases of past societies who may have 'broken down well'. They note that studying the pasts in this light can help us "𝘳𝘦𝘧𝘭𝘦𝘤𝘵 𝘰𝘯 𝘩𝘰𝘸 𝘴𝘰𝘮𝘦 𝘴𝘰𝘤𝘪𝘦𝘵𝘪𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘱𝘱𝘦𝘢𝘳 𝘵𝘰 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘴𝘰𝘧𝘵𝘦𝘯𝘦𝘥 𝘤𝘰𝘭𝘭𝘢𝘱𝘴𝘦, 𝘢𝘥𝘢𝘱𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘵𝘰 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯, 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘯𝘴𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘦𝘥 𝘪𝘯 𝘸𝘢𝘺𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘦𝘳𝘷𝘦𝘥 𝘦𝘭𝘦𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘤𝘶𝘭𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘦, 𝘮𝘦𝘢𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨, 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘰𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘤𝘰𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘦" This perfectly captures our mission @SoDy!! Our mission is to collect, scrutinize, and draw out the insights from as many of these examples as possible. And this includes the more 'negative' cases as well, those societies which didn't manage their breakdown well at all - which can be just as instructive as we face, and look to avoid, repeating those mistakes today. 👀 Check out our #SoDy_Newsreel for the articles, interviews, and thought-pieces we've written on this topic 👉 https://www.so-dy.org

𝑵𝒆𝒘 SoDy 𝑻𝒉𝒐𝒖𝒈𝒉𝒕 𝑷𝒊𝒆𝒄𝒆 🤔🤔🤔 Research Director Rachel Ainsworth Ph.D. writes about the ongoing conflict in Iran and throughout west Asia, and what it would take to achieve a meaningful, lasting social revolution (spoiler: a horrific bombing campaign ain't it) ✨ https://lnkd.in/edVRZugN

𝗬𝗼𝘂 𝗖𝗮𝗻’𝘁 𝗛𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗮 𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗼𝗹𝘂𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗪𝗶𝘁𝗵𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗼𝗹𝘂𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 ✨ https://lnkd.in/edVRZugN As our own Research Director Rachel Ainsworth Ph.D. writes in the latest SoDy #ThoughtPiece, bombing a populace into 'spontaneous popular uprising – no matter how disaffected, mistreated, and immiserated they may be – is not the way to social reform. History shows us time and again that Revolutions are hard and truly successful, progressive, justice-boosting ones are actually quite rare. And we can't think of one example that came in the midst of escalating regional armed conflict. As Rachel concludes, "Ultimately, only a movement grounded in the aspirations and unity of the Iranian people can navigate the intricate challenges faced by the nation and lay the foundation for lasting equitable transformation."

𝙄𝙨 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙧𝙤𝙖𝙙 𝙩𝙤 𝙖𝙥𝙤𝙘𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙥𝙨𝙚 𝙥𝙖𝙫𝙚𝙙 𝙬𝙞𝙩𝙝... 𝙘𝙤𝙣𝙨𝙩𝙧𝙖𝙞𝙣𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙞𝙣𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙩𝙪𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣𝙨?? 👉 https://lnkd.in/e6QwsQNR 👈 At SoDy – and through our roots with Seshat: Global History Databank – we've long bristled at 𝐺𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑡 𝑀𝑎𝑛 ℎ𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑦; the idea that radical, powerful, innovative individuals drive major events. It's usually better to think the other way around - societal dynamics, forces, incentive structures and systemic functions set the stage for what type of individuals will develop, what they will try to accomplish, and which ones will 'succeed' and end up being remembered by history. Had there been no Caesar, would the Roman Republic not ever have collapsed?? Unlikely. Plenty of other individuals poised to take the same steps Caesar did. Rome was in many, many ways primed for the kind of change it underwent at the end of the 1st century BCE. Probably the most significant difference is that we'd all be eating Mark Antony salads now 🥗 The latest must-read #ExistentialCrunch entry from our own Florian Ulrich Jehn explores this issue with an eye to our modern #polycrisis. He asks whether and what sort of 'bad actors' might have their finger on the doomsday button, or if in fact it's better to look at the institutions and systems that are generating the major existential risks that have been rising in recent decades?? One critical point is the way that power has become concentrated creates a slew of risks while undermining the very broad-based, inclusive, deliberative decision-making that could help us navigate them. As Florian puts it: 🗣️ "𝘱𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘺𝘮𝘢𝘬𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘶𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬𝘴 𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘦𝘥 𝘣𝘺 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘤𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘪𝘯𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘵𝘶𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘱𝘰𝘸𝘦𝘳, 𝘣𝘶𝘵 𝘧𝘦𝘦𝘭 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘦𝘥 𝘣𝘺 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘺 𝘱𝘰𝘸𝘦𝘳 𝘢𝘴𝘺𝘮𝘮𝘦𝘵𝘳𝘪𝘦𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘤𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴"

🙀 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗰𝘂𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗲𝗿𝗮 𝗼𝗳 𝗶𝗻𝘀𝘁𝗶𝘁𝘂𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗼𝗿𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗶𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗼 𝗮𝗻 𝗲𝗻𝗱 -- 𝙬𝙝𝙖𝙩 ����𝙤𝙬??? New Special Issue of Alliance magazine looks to address this pressing question with a series of articles describing the prospects of social change in the chaos of our modern #polycrisis. ✨ https://lnkd.in/eKQYHqGN Check out in particular SoDy director Daniel Hoyer and friend-of-the-org Renilde Becqué's piece on how philanthropic foundations aren't effectively fuelling the sorts of systemic transformations required, and how learning from the past can help the sector rise up to the needs of the day 👉 https://lnkd.in/eYbP9gk7 (NB: the article is behind a paywall...)

✊ 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐮𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐲-𝐥𝐞𝐝 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐚𝐥𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐚𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐨𝐩𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐭𝐨 𝐟𝐚𝐬𝐜𝐢𝐬𝐭 𝐫𝐞𝐠𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐬 ✊ In the first of our 𝘚𝘰𝘋𝘺 𝘛𝘩𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘗𝘪𝘦𝘤𝘦𝘴, our Research Director, Rachel Ainsworth reflects on the similarities of actions of resistance led by 'ordinary' people during World War II and in the US today. From assisting vulnerable neighbours to (literal) whistle-blowing, Rachel concisely highlights how history, as always, repeats itself. So grab a coffee ☕ and enjoy an important five minute read over on our SoDy site. https://lnkd.in/eMinq-aW

☮️ 𝙒𝙝𝙚𝙧𝙚 𝙝𝙖𝙫𝙚 𝙖𝙡𝙡 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙡 𝙝𝙞𝙥𝙥𝙞𝙚𝙨 𝙜𝙤𝙣𝙚?? Youth-led movements around environmental and social justice have become an increasingly popular, visible, and powerful tool of change in the last decade or so. We think of young people as generally highly energetic and fierce, unencumbered by (or at least less vested in) the status quo and ready to take on the powers that be – at least compared to those of us a bit longer-in-the-tooth 👴 . ❓ 𝘉𝘶𝘵 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘬𝘪𝘥𝘴 𝘯𝘢𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 '𝘳𝘢𝘥𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭'? Not necesarily, according to a fantastic new though-piece from our friend (and one of the deepest thinkers on social change that I know), Adel Ramdani just published on Resilience.org: ✨ https://lnkd.in/e2C9-xzS As youth movements have gained momentum and access, they have also becoming increasingly 'professionalized' according to Adel. This carries alot of benefits, but one drawback is it may be taking some of the bite out of their calls for justice. Adel notes that there is room for youth groups to remain organized and impactful while re-capturing some of the more radical elements we expect from kids dissatisfied with the world they've inherited.

✨ 𝗡𝘂𝗰𝗹𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗪𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝗮𝗻 𝗔𝗹𝗹 𝗥𝗶𝘀𝗸𝘀 𝗣𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗽𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲  Our very own Florian Ulrich Jehn, SoDy's Existential Risk Lead, contributes to UN Report on the Nuclear Winter 👉 See the post on his great #ExistentialCrunch substack: https://lnkd.in/eV4sWE6f In addition to the usual remarkable survey of literature on the topic, Florian notes how our understanding of the possible effects of nuclear attacks belong within a wider 'all risks perspective'. Nuclear war is unlikely to occur in isolation from other crises, nor are its impacts relegated to only the direct effects of detonated warheads. This work shows how taking the bigger-picture view, connecting the dots between stresses, crises, and impacts over long time-courses – the SoDy method – can help us better understand, prepare for, and, ultimately, minimize the greatest catastrophic risks facing the world.

𝗛𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘆 𝘀𝘂𝗴𝗴𝗲𝘀𝘁𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝘂𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗿𝗲𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺, 𝗱𝗿𝗶𝘃𝗲𝗻 𝗯𝘆 𝗽𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿𝗳𝘂𝗹 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗶𝗻𝘀𝘁𝗶𝘁𝘂𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀, 𝗶𝘀 𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝘁𝗼 𝗺𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗴𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘀𝗼𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝘂𝗻𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗮𝘃𝗼𝗶𝗱 𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗵𝗶𝗰 𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗲𝘀. In a new commentary piece published today in SUERF - The European Money & Finance Forum, SoDy Director Daniel Hoyer and Data Science Director Jim Bennett diagnose what it takes to avert – or divert – looming societal crisis ✨ https://lnkd.in/dEJQMhZM Looking at historical examples compiled by members of the Seshat: Global History Databank, the team explored cases where growing social unrest did not end up spiralling into major conflict, disruption, and violence, the authors highlight three lessons to help mitigate our modern #polycrisis:  1. 𝙧𝙚𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙨𝙚 𝙜𝙧𝙤𝙬𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙦𝙪𝙖𝙡𝙞𝙩𝙮 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙧𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙤𝙧𝙚 𝙗𝙖𝙡𝙖𝙣𝙘𝙚 𝙞𝙣 𝙢𝙖𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙞𝙖𝙡 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙨𝙤𝙘𝙞𝙖𝙡 𝙬𝙚𝙡𝙡-𝙗𝙚𝙞𝙣𝙜  2. 𝙚𝙭𝙥𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙨𝙩𝙖𝙩𝙚 𝙘𝙖𝙥𝙖𝙘��𝙩𝙮 𝙗𝙮 𝙗𝙪𝙞𝙡𝙙𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙨𝙩𝙧𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙛𝙞𝙨𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙗𝙪𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙪𝙘𝙧𝙖𝙩𝙞𝙘 𝙞𝙣𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙩𝙪𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣𝙨 𝙩𝙤 𝙢𝙖𝙣𝙖𝙜𝙚 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙙𝙚𝙢𝙖𝙣𝙙𝙨 𝙤𝙛 𝙘𝙤𝙡𝙡𝙚𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙫𝙚 𝙗𝙖𝙧𝙜𝙖𝙞𝙣𝙞𝙣𝙜, 𝙬𝙚𝙡𝙛𝙖𝙧𝙚, 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙧𝙚𝙜𝙪𝙡𝙖𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣  3. 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙢𝙤𝙨𝙩 𝙬𝙚𝙖𝙡𝙩𝙝𝙮 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙥𝙤𝙬𝙚𝙧𝙛𝙪𝙡 𝙘𝙞𝙩𝙞𝙯𝙚𝙣𝙨 𝙢𝙪𝙨𝙩 𝙚𝙨𝙘𝙝𝙚𝙬 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙡𝙤𝙜𝙞𝙘 𝙤𝙛 𝙨𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩-𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 𝙜𝙖𝙞𝙣 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙢𝙖𝙞𝙣𝙩𝙖𝙞𝙣𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙨𝙩𝙖𝙩𝙪𝙨-𝙦𝙪𝙤 𝙥𝙧𝙞𝙫𝙞𝙡𝙚𝙜𝙚𝙨 𝙞𝙣 𝙛𝙖𝙫𝙤𝙪𝙧 𝙤𝙛 𝙡𝙤𝙣𝙜𝙚𝙧-𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 𝙥𝙪𝙗𝙡𝙞𝙘 𝙨𝙩𝙖𝙗𝙞𝙡𝙞𝙩𝙮